Polipundit Has Interesting Analysis of NY Times Poll Internals

October 31, 2004

I discovered at CrushKerry.com that Polipundit has made some very interesting observations about the New York Times/CBS Poll. The poll shows President Bush ahead of Kerry 48% to 45%. But it’s the internals that intrigues Polipundit. Among other things, they note:

John Kerry has a 41% favorable, 47% unfavorable rating. This is his worst rating ever.

President Bush has a 48% favorable, 41% unfavorable rating. That is his best rating since last December.

A wise political analyst told me just today, as a matter of coincidence, that a candidate in any major election always wants to make sure that his favorable rating exceeds his unfavorable one. A politician whose unfavorables are greater than his favorables is surely in trouble. Please let it be true in this case.

By the way, 9% of the voters hadn’t decided yet on whether their opinion of Kerry is favorable or unfavorable and 2% hadn’t heard enough? What cave in Afghanistan do you think those 2% spend most of their time in? And as for the undecided, I just wonder how people can be so uninterested as to be this clueless.

As for those who have already voted, President Bush leads Kerry 50% to 45%. There are many other numbers out there and Polipundit discusses the important ones, and all of them seem to favor the president, from the loyalty among their respective supporters to their belief that the president, by an astronomical majority: 54% to 29%, has made them safer. Now that’s quite remarkable when you take into account that John Kerry, hunting rifle at his side, has assured us every other day that he will, by golly, hunt down and destroy all terrorists, and he will, by golly, stop this foolishness of diverting our military resources to Iraq so that we can focus on finding the location of Asama’s latest video recording studio.

Whatever else you want to say about Osama’s surprise offering, he sure didn’t come off as the terrorists’ go-to guy anymore. I’ll bet Bob Shrum and Joe Lockhart are going to take him to the woodshed the first chance they get for undermining Kerry’s position that we should be focusing all of our resources on spelunking the caves of Afghanistan or Pakistan.