It's multilateralism, stupid
March 19, 2003
The anti-war
theme isn't getting much traction these days. Americans largely
support the war, but more than that, the question will soon be
moot because we are going to war. So what will be the next Bush-bashing
theme?
The Left will
always have plenty of domestic policy issues to complain about
and much to object to with the war on terror. But what will be
their enduring theme on foreign policy to serve them at least
until the 2004 presidential election?
I don't care
how many experts say that presidential elections are decided on
the state of the economy. Given international events and the war
on terror, Democrats will only get limited use out of the Clinton-Carville
slogan, "It's the economy stupid."
They're going
to have to articulate a coherent foreign policy message that will
survive a resounding American victory in Iraq. No small order.
Not to worry;
they're resourceful. It seems obvious that the Democrats' principal
theme will continue to be that George Bush is wielding American
power unilaterally and with an unparalleled arrogance. Think about
it. It has the advantages of durability and versatility.
As for durability,
they've been saying it since before Bush was inaugurated -- indeed
they've been saying it since Ronald Reagan dared to dub the Soviet
Union as the evil empire. They can just tack those years of criticism
on, since to them, for all practical purposes, Bush is a political
reincarnation of President Reagan.
As for versatility,
they've applied this theme to any number of international issues.
Remember President Clinton's hissy fit when the Republican Senate
refused to go along with his recklessly conceived nuclear test
ban treaty? It seemed that to Clinton and his party it was more
important that we be seen as cooperative with the international
community and that we trust dishonorable nations not to violate
the unverifiable treaty than it was to safeguard American security.
Similarly,
the Left was outraged that President Bush refused to sign on to
the Kyoto climate change treaty and the International Criminal
Court. Their complaint is always the same: America is snubbing
its nose at foreign governments -- but they never express concern
about American sovereignty.
Further,
they say Bush has ignored the Middle East. But to the Left, the
granddaddy of Bush unilateralism has been his policy toward Iraq,
despite his endless overtures to the United Nations and patience
in the futile inspections charade. The Left never questions the
wisdom of foreign dissent, nor answers the dilemma their position
ultimately poses: What happens if the lion's share of the international
community is advocating policies contrary to our national interests?
In opposing
the war, Democrats have tried to position themselves pretty well
even following an American rout of Iraq. If our troops are attacked
with weapons of mass destruction, they'll probably spin it as
proof that we should never have gone, rather than the opposite.
If things don't go perfectly smoothly in rebuilding Iraq, they'll
have further ammo against Bush. There will doubtlessly be disputes
with other nations in the process, which will also play into their
theme. And if we suffer another terrorist attack on our mainland,
they'll predictably charge that our strike on Iraq caused it --
either by further inflaming the Arab "street" or by
shifting our focus away from the war on terror.
After the
war, Democrats will likely say that our success in eliminating
the Saddam threat pales in comparison to the damage we've done
to our relationship with other nations. It just fits so well with
their projected image of George Bush as a tough-talking, unsophisticated
Texas cowboy -- a bull in the china cabinet of foreign relations,
breaking every relationship in the world through his ignorance
and arrogance.
It is no
accident that Democrats have picked a theme that is nearly self-proving.
Foreign nations, to some significant degree, are going to resent
us, no matter what we do. Bush tried tirelessly to bring them
along, but it was never enough. Only if you defer to their wishes
and subordinate the interests of the United States do you earn
accolades of multilateralism.
Mark my words.
The Democrats' charges of Bush arrogance and unilateralism will
increase in number and volume right up to November 2004. I for
one am grateful for a president who places America's interests
at the forefront and is not cowed by endless bogus criticism from
the Left. No matter what they throw at him, the smart money will
be on Bush in 2004.
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